{
  "contract_version": "1.0.0",
  "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
  "id": "https://angeloi.net/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
  "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
  "description": "Nominal retail and wholesale activity, regional manufacturing survey balances and the national leading indicator. A collection of evidence, not an economic forecast.",
  "assembled_at": "2026-10-18T14:37:11.156Z",
  "assembly_kind": "sourced_evidence_collection",
  "status": "ok",
  "cautions": [
    "Reference periods can differ. These are the latest retained observations, not a synchronized economic snapshot.",
    "The Philadelphia Fed survey covers Third District manufacturing; it is not nationwide all-industry sentiment.",
    "Nominal USD flows, inventory stocks, diffusion balances and index levels cannot be added or compared as equivalent quantities.",
    "Several records can share one original source. Multiple Angeloi representations are not independent corroboration."
  ],
  "oracle_dependencies": [
    "census-retail",
    "census-wholesale",
    "philadelphia-fed",
    "oecd-leading-indicators"
  ],
  "records": [
    {
      "contract_version": "1.0.0",
      "record_id": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-retail-food-services-sales/2026-08-01",
      "record_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-retail-food-services-sales/2026-08-01/7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b",
      "node_id": "us-retail-food-services-sales",
      "source_id": "census-retail",
      "statement_kind": "publisher_observation",
      "subject": "US retail and food-services sales",
      "measure": "Retail and food-services sales",
      "value": "739322",
      "unit": "millions of current USD, seasonally adjusted",
      "effective_at": "2026-08-01",
      "effective_at_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "source_published_at": null,
      "publication_time_status": "not_supplied",
      "publisher_generated_at": null,
      "window_start": null,
      "window_end": null,
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:52.322Z",
      "frequency": "monthly",
      "source_period": "2026-08",
      "source_date_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "scope": {
        "geography": "United States",
        "measure_type": "monetary_flow",
        "seasonal_adjustment": "seasonally_adjusted",
        "index_base": null,
        "transformation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Millions of current USD; nominal sales, not inflation-adjusted growth.",
          "Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods."
        ]
      },
      "status": "valid",
      "historical": false,
      "reasons": [],
      "source_url": "https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/eits/mrts?get=data_type_code%2Ctime_slot_id%2Ccell_value%2Cgeo_level_code%2Ctime_slot_date%2Ctime_slot_name&time=from+2026-04&seasonally_adj=yes&error_data=no&category_code=44X72",
      "source_sha256": "7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b",
      "attribution": "U.S. Census Bureau, MRTS. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.",
      "collection_method": "live_collection",
      "source_dependency": {
        "oracle_id": "census-retail",
        "metric_key": "SM",
        "receipt_hash": "7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b",
        "independence_notice": "Representations of this record share the same original source; page count is not corroboration."
      },
      "revision": {
        "selected_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-retail-food-services-sales/2026-08-01/7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b",
        "selection_status": "selected",
        "note": "Version identifies retained source bytes for this node and period. Changed bytes may concern other metrics; this is not a publisher revision number."
      },
      "source_health": {
        "status": "ok",
        "reasons": [],
        "last_checked_at": "2026-10-18T14:30:51.974Z",
        "collection_enabled": true
      },
      "links": {
        "html": "/nodes/us-retail-food-services-sales",
        "full": "/nodes/us-retail-food-services-sales.json",
        "compact": "/api/v1/nodes/us-retail-food-services-sales",
        "canonical": "/api/v1/observations/us-retail-food-services-sales",
        "version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-retail-food-services-sales/2026-08-01/7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b",
        "history": "/nodes/us-retail-food-services-sales/history.json",
        "revisions": "/nodes/us-retail-food-services-sales/revisions.json?date=2026-08-01",
        "receipt": "/oracles/census-retail/receipts/7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b.json",
        "directory": "/",
        "registry": "/registry.json"
      },
      "related_dossiers": [
        {
          "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
          "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
          "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing"
        }
      ],
      "summary": "US Census Bureau — retail activity: Retail and food-services sales; 739322 millions of current USD, seasonally adjusted; reference 2026-08 (first day of reference month; not a publication date); United States; status valid. Millions of current USD; nominal sales, not inflation-adjusted growth. Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods. Source: https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/eits/mrts?get=data_type_code%2Ctime_slot_id%2Ccell_value%2Cgeo_level_code%2Ctime_slot_date%2Ctime_slot_name&time=from+2026-04&seasonally_adj=yes&error_data=no&category_code=44X72. Record: https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-retail-food-services-sales/2026-08-01/7faad50c934c560eaef450ac6f2fe52c710b867c5726834bd2d1e2fa1b94163b."
    },
    {
      "contract_version": "1.0.0",
      "record_id": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-sales/2026-08-01",
      "record_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-sales/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
      "node_id": "us-wholesale-sales",
      "source_id": "census-wholesale",
      "statement_kind": "publisher_observation",
      "subject": "US merchant wholesale sales",
      "measure": "Merchant wholesale sales during reference month",
      "value": "817455",
      "unit": "millions of current USD, seasonally adjusted",
      "effective_at": "2026-08-01",
      "effective_at_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "source_published_at": null,
      "publication_time_status": "not_supplied",
      "publisher_generated_at": null,
      "window_start": null,
      "window_end": null,
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:52.322Z",
      "frequency": "monthly",
      "source_period": "2026-08",
      "source_date_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "scope": {
        "geography": "United States",
        "measure_type": "monetary_flow",
        "seasonal_adjustment": "seasonally_adjusted",
        "index_base": null,
        "transformation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Millions of current USD; sales are a monthly flow, inventories an end-month stock.",
          "Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods."
        ]
      },
      "status": "valid",
      "historical": false,
      "reasons": [],
      "source_url": "https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/eits/mwts?get=data_type_code%2Ctime_slot_id%2Ccell_value%2Cgeo_level_code%2Ctime_slot_date%2Ctime_slot_name&time=from+2026-04&seasonally_adj=yes&error_data=no&category_code=42",
      "source_sha256": "c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
      "attribution": "U.S. Census Bureau, MWTS. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.",
      "collection_method": "live_collection",
      "source_dependency": {
        "oracle_id": "census-wholesale",
        "metric_key": "SM",
        "receipt_hash": "c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
        "independence_notice": "Representations of this record share the same original source; page count is not corroboration."
      },
      "revision": {
        "selected_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-sales/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
        "selection_status": "selected",
        "note": "Version identifies retained source bytes for this node and period. Changed bytes may concern other metrics; this is not a publisher revision number."
      },
      "source_health": {
        "status": "ok",
        "reasons": [],
        "last_checked_at": "2026-10-18T14:30:51.974Z",
        "collection_enabled": true
      },
      "links": {
        "html": "/nodes/us-wholesale-sales",
        "full": "/nodes/us-wholesale-sales.json",
        "compact": "/api/v1/nodes/us-wholesale-sales",
        "canonical": "/api/v1/observations/us-wholesale-sales",
        "version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-sales/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
        "history": "/nodes/us-wholesale-sales/history.json",
        "revisions": "/nodes/us-wholesale-sales/revisions.json?date=2026-08-01",
        "receipt": "/oracles/census-wholesale/receipts/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648.json",
        "directory": "/",
        "registry": "/registry.json"
      },
      "related_dossiers": [
        {
          "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
          "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
          "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing"
        }
      ],
      "summary": "US Census Bureau — wholesale activity: Merchant wholesale sales during reference month; 817455 millions of current USD, seasonally adjusted; reference 2026-08 (first day of reference month; not a publication date); United States; status valid. Millions of current USD; sales are a monthly flow, inventories an end-month stock. Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods. Source: https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/eits/mwts?get=data_type_code%2Ctime_slot_id%2Ccell_value%2Cgeo_level_code%2Ctime_slot_date%2Ctime_slot_name&time=from+2026-04&seasonally_adj=yes&error_data=no&category_code=42. Record: https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-sales/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648."
    },
    {
      "contract_version": "1.0.0",
      "record_id": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-inventories/2026-08-01",
      "record_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-inventories/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
      "node_id": "us-wholesale-inventories",
      "source_id": "census-wholesale",
      "statement_kind": "publisher_observation",
      "subject": "US merchant wholesale inventories",
      "measure": "Merchant wholesale inventories at end of reference month",
      "value": "964199",
      "unit": "millions of current USD, seasonally adjusted",
      "effective_at": "2026-08-01",
      "effective_at_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "source_published_at": null,
      "publication_time_status": "not_supplied",
      "publisher_generated_at": null,
      "window_start": null,
      "window_end": null,
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:52.322Z",
      "frequency": "monthly",
      "source_period": "2026-08",
      "source_date_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "scope": {
        "geography": "United States",
        "measure_type": "inventory_stock",
        "seasonal_adjustment": "seasonally_adjusted",
        "index_base": null,
        "transformation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Millions of current USD; sales are a monthly flow, inventories an end-month stock.",
          "Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods."
        ]
      },
      "status": "valid",
      "historical": false,
      "reasons": [],
      "source_url": "https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/eits/mwts?get=data_type_code%2Ctime_slot_id%2Ccell_value%2Cgeo_level_code%2Ctime_slot_date%2Ctime_slot_name&time=from+2026-04&seasonally_adj=yes&error_data=no&category_code=42",
      "source_sha256": "c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
      "attribution": "U.S. Census Bureau, MWTS. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.",
      "collection_method": "live_collection",
      "source_dependency": {
        "oracle_id": "census-wholesale",
        "metric_key": "IM",
        "receipt_hash": "c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
        "independence_notice": "Representations of this record share the same original source; page count is not corroboration."
      },
      "revision": {
        "selected_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-inventories/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
        "selection_status": "selected",
        "note": "Version identifies retained source bytes for this node and period. Changed bytes may concern other metrics; this is not a publisher revision number."
      },
      "source_health": {
        "status": "ok",
        "reasons": [],
        "last_checked_at": "2026-10-18T14:30:51.974Z",
        "collection_enabled": true
      },
      "links": {
        "html": "/nodes/us-wholesale-inventories",
        "full": "/nodes/us-wholesale-inventories.json",
        "compact": "/api/v1/nodes/us-wholesale-inventories",
        "canonical": "/api/v1/observations/us-wholesale-inventories",
        "version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-inventories/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648",
        "history": "/nodes/us-wholesale-inventories/history.json",
        "revisions": "/nodes/us-wholesale-inventories/revisions.json?date=2026-08-01",
        "receipt": "/oracles/census-wholesale/receipts/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648.json",
        "directory": "/",
        "registry": "/registry.json"
      },
      "related_dossiers": [
        {
          "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
          "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
          "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing"
        }
      ],
      "summary": "US Census Bureau — wholesale activity: Merchant wholesale inventories at end of reference month; 964199 millions of current USD, seasonally adjusted; reference 2026-08 (first day of reference month; not a publication date); United States; status valid. Millions of current USD; sales are a monthly flow, inventories an end-month stock. Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods. Source: https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/eits/mwts?get=data_type_code%2Ctime_slot_id%2Ccell_value%2Cgeo_level_code%2Ctime_slot_date%2Ctime_slot_name&time=from+2026-04&seasonally_adj=yes&error_data=no&category_code=42. Record: https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-wholesale-inventories/2026-08-01/c72f2477374c3ffe0cbfa5035131ee5c6043d927b484e32ca56c855928ec0648."
    },
    {
      "contract_version": "1.0.0",
      "record_id": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-current-activity/2026-10-01",
      "record_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-current-activity/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
      "node_id": "philly-fed-current-activity",
      "source_id": "philadelphia-fed",
      "statement_kind": "publisher_observation",
      "subject": "US regional manufacturing activity — Philly Fed current conditions",
      "measure": "Current general-activity diffusion index",
      "value": "20.9",
      "unit": "diffusion index points, seasonally adjusted",
      "effective_at": "2026-10-01",
      "effective_at_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "source_published_at": null,
      "publication_time_status": "not_supplied",
      "publisher_generated_at": null,
      "window_start": null,
      "window_end": null,
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-17T00:15:51.651Z",
      "frequency": "monthly",
      "source_period": "2026-10",
      "source_date_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "scope": {
        "geography": "United States: Philadelphia Fed Third District",
        "measure_type": "survey_balance",
        "seasonal_adjustment": "seasonally_adjusted",
        "index_base": null,
        "transformation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Regional manufacturing survey, not nationwide all-industry confidence. A diffusion balance is not GDP growth.",
          "Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods."
        ]
      },
      "status": "valid",
      "historical": false,
      "reasons": [],
      "source_url": "https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/MBOS/Historical-Data/Diffusion-Indexes/bos_dif.csv?sc_lang=en",
      "source_sha256": "2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
      "attribution": "Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (MBOS), seasonally adjusted diffusion indexes. Angeloi is independent of, and not endorsed by, the Bank.",
      "collection_method": "live_collection",
      "source_dependency": {
        "oracle_id": "philadelphia-fed",
        "metric_key": "GAC",
        "receipt_hash": "2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
        "independence_notice": "Representations of this record share the same original source; page count is not corroboration."
      },
      "revision": {
        "selected_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-current-activity/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
        "selection_status": "selected",
        "note": "Version identifies retained source bytes for this node and period. Changed bytes may concern other metrics; this is not a publisher revision number."
      },
      "source_health": {
        "status": "ok",
        "reasons": [],
        "last_checked_at": "2026-10-18T14:30:51.974Z",
        "collection_enabled": true
      },
      "links": {
        "html": "/nodes/philly-fed-current-activity",
        "full": "/nodes/philly-fed-current-activity.json",
        "compact": "/api/v1/nodes/philly-fed-current-activity",
        "canonical": "/api/v1/observations/philly-fed-current-activity",
        "version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-current-activity/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
        "history": "/nodes/philly-fed-current-activity/history.json",
        "revisions": "/nodes/philly-fed-current-activity/revisions.json?date=2026-10-01",
        "receipt": "/oracles/philadelphia-fed/receipts/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873.txt",
        "directory": "/",
        "registry": "/registry.json"
      },
      "related_dossiers": [
        {
          "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
          "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
          "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing"
        }
      ],
      "summary": "Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia — manufacturing outlook: Current general-activity diffusion index; 20.9 diffusion index points, seasonally adjusted; reference 2026-10 (first day of reference month; not a publication date); United States: Philadelphia Fed Third District; status valid. Regional manufacturing survey, not nationwide all-industry confidence. A diffusion balance is not GDP growth. Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods. Source: https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/MBOS/Historical-Data/Diffusion-Indexes/bos_dif.csv?sc_lang=en. Record: https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-current-activity/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873."
    },
    {
      "contract_version": "1.0.0",
      "record_id": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-business-outlook/2026-10-01",
      "record_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-business-outlook/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
      "node_id": "philly-fed-business-outlook",
      "source_id": "philadelphia-fed",
      "statement_kind": "publisher_observation",
      "subject": "US regional business confidence — Philly Fed six-month outlook",
      "measure": "Six-month general-activity expectations diffusion index",
      "value": "33.0",
      "unit": "diffusion index points, seasonally adjusted",
      "effective_at": "2026-10-01",
      "effective_at_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "source_published_at": null,
      "publication_time_status": "not_supplied",
      "publisher_generated_at": null,
      "window_start": null,
      "window_end": null,
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-17T00:15:51.651Z",
      "frequency": "monthly",
      "source_period": "2026-10",
      "source_date_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "scope": {
        "geography": "United States: Philadelphia Fed Third District",
        "measure_type": "survey_balance",
        "seasonal_adjustment": "seasonally_adjusted",
        "index_base": null,
        "transformation": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Regional manufacturing survey, not nationwide all-industry confidence. A diffusion balance is not GDP growth.",
          "Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods."
        ]
      },
      "status": "valid",
      "historical": false,
      "reasons": [],
      "source_url": "https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/MBOS/Historical-Data/Diffusion-Indexes/bos_dif.csv?sc_lang=en",
      "source_sha256": "2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
      "attribution": "Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (MBOS), seasonally adjusted diffusion indexes. Angeloi is independent of, and not endorsed by, the Bank.",
      "collection_method": "live_collection",
      "source_dependency": {
        "oracle_id": "philadelphia-fed",
        "metric_key": "GAF",
        "receipt_hash": "2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
        "independence_notice": "Representations of this record share the same original source; page count is not corroboration."
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        "reasons": [],
        "last_checked_at": "2026-10-18T14:30:51.974Z",
        "collection_enabled": true
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      "links": {
        "html": "/nodes/philly-fed-business-outlook",
        "full": "/nodes/philly-fed-business-outlook.json",
        "compact": "/api/v1/nodes/philly-fed-business-outlook",
        "canonical": "/api/v1/observations/philly-fed-business-outlook",
        "version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-business-outlook/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873",
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        "revisions": "/nodes/philly-fed-business-outlook/revisions.json?date=2026-10-01",
        "receipt": "/oracles/philadelphia-fed/receipts/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873.txt",
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        "registry": "/registry.json"
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      "related_dossiers": [
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          "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
          "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
          "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing"
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      "summary": "Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia — manufacturing outlook: Six-month general-activity expectations diffusion index; 33.0 diffusion index points, seasonally adjusted; reference 2026-10 (first day of reference month; not a publication date); United States: Philadelphia Fed Third District; status valid. Regional manufacturing survey, not nationwide all-industry confidence. A diffusion balance is not GDP growth. Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods. Source: https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/MBOS/Historical-Data/Diffusion-Indexes/bos_dif.csv?sc_lang=en. Record: https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/philly-fed-business-outlook/2026-10-01/2174bcdf922395ff10627fdd143e8da5aafa951b4679f1228f410af9ccfd3873."
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      "source_id": "oecd-leading-indicators",
      "statement_kind": "publisher_observation",
      "subject": "US OECD Composite Leading Indicator",
      "measure": "Amplitude-adjusted Composite Leading Indicator",
      "value": "100.9993",
      "unit": "index, long-term average=100, amplitude adjusted",
      "effective_at": "2026-09-01",
      "effective_at_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "source_published_at": null,
      "publication_time_status": "not_supplied",
      "publisher_generated_at": null,
      "window_start": null,
      "window_end": null,
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-17T14:45:52.185Z",
      "frequency": "monthly",
      "source_period": "2026-09",
      "source_date_semantics": "first day of reference month; not a publication date",
      "scope": {
        "geography": "United States",
        "measure_type": "index",
        "seasonal_adjustment": null,
        "index_base": "long-term average=100",
        "transformation": "amplitude_adjusted",
        "limitations": [
          "Signals business-cycle conditions; not a GDP growth forecast. Amplitude adjustment is the published index transformation.",
          "Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods."
        ]
      },
      "status": "valid",
      "historical": false,
      "reasons": [],
      "source_url": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/public/rest/v1/data/OECD.SDD.STES,DSD_STES@DF_CLI,4.1/USA+CHN+IND+JPN+DEU+GBR+BRA+KOR.M.LI...AA...H?lastNObservations=3&format=csvfile",
      "source_sha256": "b2eb741ed914a1894c23965d7a1518d6d78060665bfe8523d7dfcef86ddcba83",
      "attribution": "OECD (2026), Composite leading indicators, OECD Data Explorer, https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ (retrieval date supplied with each observation). Reuse under OECD Data Terms: https://www.oecd.org/en/about/terms-conditions.html. Further reuse must retain this attribution. No OECD endorsement.",
      "collection_method": "live_collection",
      "source_dependency": {
        "oracle_id": "oecd-leading-indicators",
        "metric_key": "USA",
        "receipt_hash": "b2eb741ed914a1894c23965d7a1518d6d78060665bfe8523d7dfcef86ddcba83",
        "independence_notice": "Representations of this record share the same original source; page count is not corroboration."
      },
      "revision": {
        "selected_version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-oecd-leading-indicator/2026-09-01/b2eb741ed914a1894c23965d7a1518d6d78060665bfe8523d7dfcef86ddcba83",
        "selection_status": "selected",
        "note": "Version identifies retained source bytes for this node and period. Changed bytes may concern other metrics; this is not a publisher revision number."
      },
      "source_health": {
        "status": "ok",
        "reasons": [],
        "last_checked_at": "2026-10-18T14:30:51.974Z",
        "collection_enabled": true
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      "links": {
        "html": "/nodes/us-oecd-leading-indicator",
        "full": "/nodes/us-oecd-leading-indicator.json",
        "compact": "/api/v1/nodes/us-oecd-leading-indicator",
        "canonical": "/api/v1/observations/us-oecd-leading-indicator",
        "version": "https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-oecd-leading-indicator/2026-09-01/b2eb741ed914a1894c23965d7a1518d6d78060665bfe8523d7dfcef86ddcba83",
        "history": "/nodes/us-oecd-leading-indicator/history.json",
        "revisions": "/nodes/us-oecd-leading-indicator/revisions.json?date=2026-09-01",
        "receipt": "/oracles/oecd-leading-indicators/receipts/b2eb741ed914a1894c23965d7a1518d6d78060665bfe8523d7dfcef86ddcba83.txt",
        "directory": "/",
        "registry": "/registry.json"
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      "related_dossiers": [
        {
          "topic_id": "us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "title": "US demand and manufacturing conditions",
          "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
          "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
          "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing"
        }
      ],
      "summary": "OECD Composite Leading Indicators: Amplitude-adjusted Composite Leading Indicator; 100.9993 index, long-term average=100, amplitude adjusted; reference 2026-09 (first day of reference month; not a publication date); United States; status valid. Signals business-cycle conditions; not a GDP growth forecast. Amplitude adjustment is the published index transformation. Related links indicate context, not causation, equivalent units or synchronized periods. Source: https://sdmx.oecd.org/public/rest/v1/data/OECD.SDD.STES,DSD_STES@DF_CLI,4.1/USA+CHN+IND+JPN+DEU+GBR+BRA+KOR.M.LI...AA...H?lastNObservations=3&format=csvfile. Record: https://angeloi.net/api/v1/records/us-oecd-leading-indicator/2026-09-01/b2eb741ed914a1894c23965d7a1518d6d78060665bfe8523d7dfcef86ddcba83."
    }
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  "links": {
    "html": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
    "json": "/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing.json",
    "api": "/api/v1/topics/us-demand-and-manufacturing",
    "directory": "/",
    "registry": "/registry.json"
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}